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counting and probability intermediate
Problem
A radio program has a quiz consisting of multiple-choice questions, each with choices. A contestant wins if he or she gets or more of the questions right. The contestant answers randomly to each question. What is the probability of winning?
(A)
(B)
(C)
(D)
Solution
There are two ways the contestant can win. Case 1: The contestant guesses all three right. This can only happen of the time. Case 2: The contestant guesses only two right. We pick one of the questions to get wrong, , and this can happen of the time. Thus, = . So, in total the two cases combined equals = . More detailed explanation: For case 1, the contestant must guess all three correctly. The probability of guessing one problem right is , so the probability of getting all three right is . For case 2: we must choose one of the problems to answer correctly and two to answer incorrectly. The probabilities for guessing correctly and incorrectly are and , respectively. So we have . The answer is the sum of probabilities of case 1 and 2, since there are no overcounts. .
Final answer
D