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Printjmc
counting and probability senior
Problem
A fair coin is flipped times. What is the probability that at least consecutive flips come up heads?
Solution
First, we count the number of total outcomes. Each toss has possibilities - heads or tails - so the tosses have possible outcomes.
To count the number of outcomes with at least consecutive heads, we need to use casework.
Case 1: Exactly heads. There are three positions for a string of heads in a row, so there are possibilities in this case.
Case 2: Exactly heads in a row. There are two positions for a string of heads in a row, so there are possibilities in this case.
Case 3: Exactly heads, but not six in a row. There are two possibilities: either the first five coins and the last coin are heads, or the last five coins and the first coin are heads.
Case 4: heads. There's only way to do this -- all tosses must be heads.
So there are successful outcomes, hence the probability is
To count the number of outcomes with at least consecutive heads, we need to use casework.
Case 1: Exactly heads. There are three positions for a string of heads in a row, so there are possibilities in this case.
Case 2: Exactly heads in a row. There are two positions for a string of heads in a row, so there are possibilities in this case.
Case 3: Exactly heads, but not six in a row. There are two possibilities: either the first five coins and the last coin are heads, or the last five coins and the first coin are heads.
Case 4: heads. There's only way to do this -- all tosses must be heads.
So there are successful outcomes, hence the probability is
Final answer
\frac{1}{16}