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counting and probability intermediate
Problem
If I roll a fair, regular six-sided die four times, what is the probability that I will roll the number exactly three times?
Solution
Each roll is independent of every other roll, so the probability of getting a on any given roll is , and the probability of not getting a on any given roll is . Since we are looking for a rolled three times and a number not rolled once, we have . Now, we have to consider the order of the rolls. The number that is not a could be rolled on the first, second, third, or fourth roll, so we multiply by four. Hence, the probability of rolling exactly three times is .
Final answer
\frac{5}{324}