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jmc

counting and probability senior

Problem

We roll a fair 6-sided die 5 times. What is the probability that exactly 3 of the 5 rolls are either a 1 or a 2?
Solution
The number of possible rolls of 5 dice is , since there are 6 possibilities for each of the 5 dice. Now we count the number of ways to get a 1 or a 2 in exactly 3 of the 5 rolls. First, we pick which 3 of the 5 rolls are 1 or 2: we can do that in ways. Now for each of these 3 rolls, there are 2 choices, and for each of the other 2 rolls, there are 4 choices. Thus the probability is
Final answer
\frac{40}{243}